Escalation barometer for state pairs: phase, heat, tempo and the gap between words and deeds — from open sources, with a public record of its own errors
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Oct 6, 2026 - JavaScript
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ucdp
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Détection d’anomalies spatio-temporelles (UCDP GED RU/UA) - modèles fréquence + létalité + dashboard Streamlit
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Jan 13, 2026 - Python
2026 revival of a 2022 NLP course project: SUB-Forecast, a leakage-controlled benchmark for subnational unrest forecasting (994 regions, 55 countries). Finding: news text is informative but nearly subsumed by the event record, adding a small significant gain on escalation (+0.3-0.6 AUPRC points) and nothing on onset.
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Jul 26, 2026 - Python
Interactive data visualization exploring structural shifts in global conflict and reporting gaps.
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Mar 2, 2026 - JavaScript
Armed-conflict deaths, active wars and violence events from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP), every country since 1989.
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Sep 26, 2026 - TypeScript
Facetwork domain: UCDP armed-conflict world choropleth (events/deaths/civilian/intensity) over Natural Earth geometry.
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Sep 3, 2026 - Python
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